استخدام منهجية بوكس-جينكنز للتنبؤ بانبعاثات غاز Co2 في الجزائر خلال الفترة 1950-2018

الملخص EN

This study aimed to predict the emissions of Carbon dioxide in Algeria during the period 1950-2018, using the Box-Jenkins methodology, by building an econometric model for forecasting carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Algeria during the period 1950-2018.

Our study concluded that the time series of the type (DS) was stationary at the first difference, and after examination, analysis and comparison according to the Box-Jenkins methodology through divers statistical tests, we has been proposed and building the best econometric model hybrid to forecasting carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Algeria from the form ARIMA (1, 1, 7)-GARCH(1, 1), Using the proposed econometric model, our study concluded an estimate of the yearly forecast of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Algeria during the period between 2019-2025, which was continuously increasing