نمذجة قياسية لمحددات التضخم باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي للفجوات الزمنية المتباطئة ARDL في الجزائر خلال الفترة 1990-2018

الملخص EN

Through this paper, we have tried to identify and measure the most important economic variables causing inflation in Algeria during the period 1990-2018, and due to the multiplicity and overlap of its causes, whether monetary or non-monetary (structural), we have relied on the PCA method of extracting the most important economic variables affecting the phenomenon.

Exchange rate, Wage mass and monetary mass have been accepted for their effect on inflation that relied upon to build the ARDL model by which we found that these variables have effects only on short-term inflation, which is consistent with economic theory.