صدمات أسعار النفط و تأثيرها على العمالة في الجزائر : دراسة قياسية باستخدام نماذج NARDL غير الخطية

الملخص EN

The purpose of the present study is to analyse the oil price shocks and their impact on employment in Algeria during the period 1980-2017.

In this study we use the nonlinear models NARDL.

The results show that the effects in the variation in oil prices are asymmetric in the long run, while their effects are symmetrical and weak in the short term.

The results also showed that the rate of employment in Algeria is more responsive to positive oil prices shocks than negative shocks.

This study suggests the policy and decision makers in Algeria to save oil revenues in time of prosperity to support employment level in the oil price crisis period.