Lewis–Mogridge Points: A Nonarbitrary Method to Include Induced Traffic in Cost-Benefit Analyses
المؤلفون المشاركون
Kucharski, Rafał
Drabicki, Arkadiusz
Paszkowski, Jan
Szarata, Andrzej
المصدر
Journal of Advanced Transportation
العدد
المجلد 2020، العدد 2020 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2020)، ص ص. 1-17، 17ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2020-03-10
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
17
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
We propose a new method to estimate benefits of road network improvements, which allows to include the induced demand without arbitrary assumptions.
Instead of estimating induced demand (which is nontrivial and hardly possible in practice), we search for demand induction where initial benefits are mitigated to zero.
Such approach allows to formulate a dual measure of benefit, covering both the potential benefits and the likelihood of consuming them by the induced traffic.
We first estimate benefits of road network improvement assuming that traffic demand is fixed.
Consequently, we find demand model configurations at which the benefits of the new investment become null, i.e., all the initial benefits are consumed by the traffic demand growth.
We call such states of induced demand the Lewis–Mogridge points of the analysed improvement.
We select the most probable of such points and use it to calculate the proposed novel indicator μ, for which the initial benefits (obtained under a fixed-demand assumption) are multiplied with a demand increase rate needed to consume them.
We believe that such measure allows to include the critical phenomena of induced traffic and, at the same time, to overcome problems associated with reliable estimation of induced demand.
As we illustrate with the case of two alternative road improvement schemes in Kraków, Poland, the proposed method allows to estimate maximal threshold of induced traffic and to select scenario more resilient to induced traffic.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Kucharski, Rafał& Drabicki, Arkadiusz& Paszkowski, Jan& Szarata, Andrzej. 2020. Lewis–Mogridge Points: A Nonarbitrary Method to Include Induced Traffic in Cost-Benefit Analyses. Journal of Advanced Transportation،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-17.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1175499
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Kucharski, Rafał…[et al.]. Lewis–Mogridge Points: A Nonarbitrary Method to Include Induced Traffic in Cost-Benefit Analyses. Journal of Advanced Transportation No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-17.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1175499
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Kucharski, Rafał& Drabicki, Arkadiusz& Paszkowski, Jan& Szarata, Andrzej. Lewis–Mogridge Points: A Nonarbitrary Method to Include Induced Traffic in Cost-Benefit Analyses. Journal of Advanced Transportation. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-17.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1175499
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1175499
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر