أثر بعض المؤشرات الاقتصادية على الناتج المحلي الإجمالي الإيراني للمدة 1992–2014 : دراسة قياسية

الملخص EN

Summary Iran's economy has suffered from the economic sanctions, which had effect many of the structural imbalances, so has been to resort to a series of changes in production methods, Especially after the Islamic revolution and the increasing size of the population to overcome these failures and exit of the Iranian economy from its crisis that made him adapt a special which made him adapt a special status away of the international changes, and that led directly or indirectly to impede economic sector growth and rates of contribution to the gross domestic production, Therefore, the re- building Iranian economy its requires access to a state of self-reliance, the researchers analyzed descriptive the some of the Iranian economy variables and then use quantitative analytical method based on a many statistical programs, to get the results of estimating models and explained the impact of some economic indicators on Iranian GDP and tested itstatistically across the time series of the research sample consisted from 1992-2014.

Analysis showed the parameters signals that were Compatible with economic logic except referring the foreign trade sector, which showed its inverse relationship with the gross domestic production, and the researchers justifies that to economic siege, and restrictions on the Iranian economy which its impact one way or another on the foreign trade sector of the hand, and others the national product protection and adapt economy policy against external shocks and follow the protectionism policy Left its impact on the external sector behavior, It also showed the coefficient of determination R2 strength explanatory, To clarify the changes of GDP, which were caused by the studied sectors, which indicates the relationship represented by the elected data, and that gain of 1% due to other variables didn't enter the model.

المقدمة