أثر تغير أسعار النفط على صادرات الجزائر إلى الاتحاد الأوروبي : دراسة قياسية للفترة 1976-2018

الملخص EN

This study aims to show the impact of oil prices Fluctuation on Algeria's exports to the European Union through a econometric approach during the period 1976-2018, after describing its reality and analyzing its characteristics under the rentier peculiarity of the national economy using Johansen's Co-Integration Methodology, ECM; Toda-Yamamoto's Causality Test(1995) and response functions analyses.

The results of this study confirmed the fact that total exports or the exports to the European Union are Sensitive to oil price Fluctuations due to the dominance of hydrocarbons over their overall composition, in a way that exposes their revenues to sharp fluctuations that entail great risks to the national economy in the case of the price collapse.