قياس تأثير تغيرات أسعار النفط على إدارة العوائد النفطية في الجزائر باستخدام نموذج ARDL للفترة (2000-2019)‎

الملخص EN

Q350This study dealt with standard analysis and modeling of the impact of oil price fluctuations on managing oil revenues in Algeria during the period (2000-2019), in order to determine the nature of the effect of oil price trend on oil revenues using the ARDL model.

In addition to analysing how to manage these revenues in light of the fluctuations in oil prices in Algeria.

The study found that oil prices are directly affected by the value of oil revenues.

This confirms the relationship between oil prices and oil revenues, which is one of the most important determinants for them, in addition to the obstacles that fluctuations in oil prices cause on managing oil revenues, which directly affects the state's general budget and the process of disrupting the economic development process.

Key words: oil prices, oil revenues, the Algerian economy, the ARDL model Jel Codes Classification: P44، E63، Q350.