أثر تقلبات سعر صرف الأورو و الدولار على رصيد الميزان التجاري الجزائري : دراسة قياسية باستخدام نماذج الانحدار الذاتي للفترة 2000-2018

الملخص EN

The fluctuations in exchange rates have repercussions on various sectors and on macroeconomic indicators However, it directly affects the foreign trade sector in Algeria, which depends on oil as a strategic resource, and which's the only way for it to be present in global markets, with exports estimated at 98 % of total exports.

In return, about 50 % of imports come from the European Union, and the structure of Algerian foreign trade makes it hostage to external shocks, which mainly result from fluctuations in oil prices as a result of their impact on the outcome.

Exports What was found in this study, which touched Algeria as a developing country using var models, indicates the existence of a link between the exchange rate and the trade balance, which is a long-term equilibrium relationship.