دراسة اقتصادية لواقع الأمن الغذائي لمحصولي القمح و الرز في العراق للمدة 1980-2017

الملخص EN

In this research, the reality of food security for wheat and rice crops in Iraq was analyzed for the period (1980-2017).

Descriptive and quantitative analysis was used in this research to analyze the production and consumption of wheat and rice crops, as well as shed light on the food gap, determining the self-sufficiency ratio of each of them, and estimating the amount of consumption.

Actual local.

The best (double logarithmic) functions were selected based on their conformity with economic logic and statistical and standard tests when taking production as a dependent factor The significance of the function as a whole, which amounted to 12.03, was the ence of the model from self-regression problems, by testing the coefficient of determination that reached 2.15.

As for the rice yield, it was found that the independent factors affect by 74% , and the significance of the function as a whole reached 18.80, which indicates that the model is free of regression problems.

This is through testing the determination factor that reached 1.98, as well as the decrease in the quantities produced from the two crops for not following agricultural policies that ensure the use of modern technologies and the increase in the dunum yield, showing the increase in the quantities consumed from the two crops.

Because the annual growth rate in the population is much greater than the annual growth rate in production, which led to the occurrence of a food gap from the two crops drains hard money to close it.

The research recommends adopting a rational agricultural policy to increase the dunamium yield for each of them and provide protection for the local product and encourage Arab and foreign investment in its production to enable them to introduce modern technologies to serve and harvest the crops.

As well as support scientific research and employ research results in the field of developing the two crops in a manner appropriate to the agricultural environment and to have agricultural guidance in Iraq has an active role in adopting high-yielding varieties that are highly resistant to diseases and insects.