دراسية قياسية لمحددات معدل التشغيل في الجزائر باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاء الزمني الموزع (ARDL)‎ خلال الفترة (1986-2019)‎

الملخص EN

This research paper aimed at determining the most important explanatory variables on the employment rate in Algeria in the short and long runs during the period (1986-2019) by using the autoregressive distributed lag model(ARDL), where three independent variables were selected: oil prices, the trade openness rate and the size of the active population in Algeria.

The study concluded that the oil prices have a positive relationship with the employment rate in the short and long runs, as for the openness trade rate effect does not appear except in the long run in a positive relationship, as for the size of the active population is inversely related to the employment rate in the short and long terms.

The results showed the existence of a long term equilibrium relationship between the employment rate and the variables that explain it using bounds test.