تأثير تغير سعر النفط على الإنفاق الحكومي في الجزائر على المدى القصير و الطويل : دراسة قياسية باستخدام منهج تحليل السلاسل الزمنية

الملخص EN

The purpose of this study is to present and analyses the volatility of oil prices in the world market, as a result of the time-frame that has evolved from the beginning of the emergence of oil to the last few years, as well as to review the state of government spending in the Algerian economy from independence to 2018, since Algeria relies almost entirely on the export of oil in its economy.

In this study, we found that there is a positive correlation between government spending in Algeria and oil prices in the short term, while in the long term this relationship is non-existent.

This study also found a standard model showing the relationship between these two variables, which allows for predictions of future levels of government spending in the light of the level of emerging oil prices.