الأنماط العمرية للهجرة الدولية من مصر: مدخل جدول الحياة

الملخص EN

The aim of the research is to estimate the probabilities of emigration from Egypt according to age and to the country of destination by using "national survey of international migration Egypt 2013" the multi decerement life table approach has applied to estimates these probabilities.

migrant is defined as any Egyptian who moved from Egypt in order to go and reside abroad in another country for a continuous period of at least three months in age category of 15-59 years, a reference period starting from "1 January 2000" has been adopted.

the research takes into account the first migration only.

the results show that the emigration from Egypt is dominated by males.

about 84% of the sample migrated to one of the following four Arab countries: Saudi Arabia, Libya, Jordan and Kuwait.

there are variations in the probability of emigration according to age and destination country.

the highest probability of emigration is in the age group 20-24 years, in the case of migration to Libya or Jordan, while the highest probability of migration to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait or other countries is in the age group 25-29 years.

the results reveal that the cumulative age probability of migration takes the following pattern: one quarter of the total emigrants migrated before the age of 25 years, half of them initiated their emigration before reaching the age of 30 years, and 75% migrated before the age of 39 years.

more attention to study the emigration from Egypt is recommended to identify the reasons behind the preferences to migrate from Egypt to specific countries.