دراسة بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية و تأثيرها علي حجم الدين العام المحلي في مصر خلال الفترة من 2006 2007-2017 2018

الملخص EN

The policy of financial reform adopted by the State had a great impact on the increasing integration of the Egyptian economy with the global economy.

The customs policy is one of the most important financial political tools used in running the national economy and contributes in increasing production, realizing the fair competition and supporting the local industries.

Although the liberalization of trade is accompanied with an economic cost, however, according to the economic theory, the liberalization of trade works on realizing many benefits to the national economy that exceeds this cost.

Of the most important benefits realized; the increase of the economic growth rate – the reallocation of the economic resources as per the comparative benefits- ….

etc.).

Although the forecasted loss in the revenue of the State due to the reduction of the tariff would positively impact the local products in particular the products that contribute in limiting dumping of the local with similar products, a matter that would lead to the increase of exports as the real success of any industry lies in its potential to dispose of it products in foreign markets more than in local markets and ensure that the merchandise reaches the consumer with high quality and proper price.

This study aims at clarifying the development of the foreign trade before and after joining World Trade Organization and the impact of customs tax on the protection of the emerging industries as well as its contribution in rationalizing the consumption of the imported goods and improving the payment balance to increase the general revenues.

Using the statistical models and the application of the declining policy, the hypotheses of this study have been proved and their impact on tax revenues.

The study of the forecasting formula shows an increase in the value of goods export after joining World Trade Organization beside goods import, a matter that shows that the liberalization of trade has a positive impact on the economy in light of political stability of the State compared to the period before joining World Trade Organization.