قياس اثر تحرير التجارة الخارجية على بعض المؤشرات الاقتصادية للتنمية المستدامة في العراق للمدة (2004- 2018)‎

الملخص EN

This study aims to measure the impact of foreign trade liberalization on some economic indicators of sustainable development in Iraq for the period from 2004 to 2018, by applying the model of self-regression for distribution periods (Autoregressive distributed lag) to reveal the relationship between the liberalization of foreign trade and some indicators of sustainable development (economic) using the statistical program (Eviews 9) to measure the relationship in the short and long term.

The standard study showed that the liberalization of foreign trade has positive effects on economic indicators of sustainable development represented by GDP and investment i.

e.

a positive and moral impact for the short and long term as the increase in the degree of economic exposure by (1% ) The investment model leads economic exposure to a rise in investment by 385.57 in the long term, while the total external debt model has been associated with an inverse and moral relationship, with economic exposure reducing external debt by 0.204 in the long term.

The most important recommendation of the research is to reduce dependence on the extractive sector and shift from an economy that is based primarily on oil to an economy based on diversification of sources of income and development of agricultural productive sectors, including industrial ones using modern technology methods, and work to find trade and economic policy solutions aimed at encouraging national products so that they can compete with other products in a way that enables them to rely on import goods to avoid distortion of the economic structure and correct the imbalance in (exports and imports.