قياس وتحليل ظاهرة تزايد النفقات العامة في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (1990-2021)‎

الملخص EN

The increase in public expenditures is one of the prevailing phenomena in the economies of the world countries in general and the developing countries in particular, including Iraq, which aims through it to achieve the public benefit and achieve economic goals such as economic growth and overall balance as well as stability and economic development, as public expenditures are used by the state as a tool of effective financial policy in countries the developing countries suffer from deep-rooted structural problems and imbalances, so the state resorts to increasing public expenditures in order to achieve satiation of public needs and goods and increase the level of community welfare.

therefore, this research focused on clarifying the nature of the increase in public expenditures in Iraq, is it an apparent increase or a real increase during the period 1990-2021, as well as testing the validity of the hypothesis of Wagner's law, as the research is based on the premise that the increase in public expenditures in Iraq is mostly apparent increases that are not reflected to increase the benefits of public goods and services.

in order to confirm the validity of the hypothesis, the research was divided into three sections.

the first section dealt with the conceptual framework of the phenomenon of increasing public expenditures, the second dealt with the analysis of the development of public expenditures and some economic variables in the Iraqi economy, and the third section dealt with testing the hypotheses of Wagner's law in Iraq.

a number of conclusions were reached, the most important of which is that the nature of the increase in public expenditures in Iraq was apparent increases in the nineties and other subsequent years as a result of a significant increase in inflation equipment, followed by real increases in some years, while the standard analysis showed the non-applicability of Wagner's law in the Iraqi economy during the study period, and the research recommends the need to prepare programs that support improvement of public services in order to increase the benefits of society and achieve economic well-being through the optimal allocation of public expenditures.