أثر تقلبات أسعار النفط على النمو الاقتصادي على المدى البعيد في الجزائر خلال الفترة (1990-2020)‎ : دراسة قياسية باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاء الموزع (ARDL)‎

الملخص EN

This research paper aims to measure the impact of oil prices fluctuations on economic growth in Algeria in the short and long term during a period of time from 1990 to 2020, and to achieve the objectives of the study, we used the ARDL methodology based on oil prices as an independent variable and per capita of the gross domestic product as a dependent variable as an indicator of economic growth.

The results of this study indicate that there is a direct relationship between oil prices and economic growth in Algeria during the study period and with a very high statistical significance, as the change in the price of oil by one unit will change the economic growth positively by 26, 32%, and also the existence of a short- and long-term equilibrium relationship between oil prices and economic growth during the study period.