التنبؤ بالمبيعات باستخدام منهجية بوكس جينكينز : دراسة حالة وحدة أغذية الأنعام بالجلفة

الملخص EN

2022This research paper aims to forcast sales of livestock feed unit in Djelfa, In this context, the monthly data of the establishment's sales is studied and analyzed during the period from January 2016 to December 2021, with 72 views, Where we applied the Box-Jenkins methodology to the sales chain for the purpose of obtaining a predictable econometrics model.

The results of the research, after comparison between several models, concluded that the appropriate and efficient model for representing the data of the series under study is the ARIMA model (10.

1.

1), and According to these results, this model was estimated and then the Unit's sales forecast process for the period January 2022-June 2022, and the result of the forecasting process showed that unit sales will record a noticeable decrease during the first half of 2022