الأسس النظرية و المنهجية للتنبؤ العلمي في البحث الاجتماعي

الملخص EN

This survey handles the matter of scientific prediction of social sciences, using the descriptive, analytical and deductive method in the study.

it explained the firm link of prediction with the scientific theory which explains the phenomena.

it highlighted the importance of methodological procedures that fit the scientific theory which directs the track of the research to attain prediction in the future track of the phenomena.

its importance, also, stems up by highlighting the matter of linking the scientific prediction with the scientific theory , and the fitting methodological procedures and the subject of the research which contributes to test the hypothesis and to reach to the laws that the phenomena is subjected to.

the survey attempted to identify the theoretical basis and the ethodological steps on which the scientific prediction based, and discovering the nature of scientific prediction in social sciences, and recognizing the relation between the scientific prediction and the future studies which aims at developing society, and to identify the role of circumstances in demonstrating the relationship between both concepts the reason and the result .