أثر الانفتاح التجاري على سعر الصرف في السودان خلال الفترة 1990-2021 : دراسة قياسية باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي ذو الفجوات الموزعة ARDL

الملخص EN

This study aimed to examine the affect of Trade Openness on Exchange Rate in Sudan during the period 1990 – 2021, using time series data and Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL), to test the Shortrun and Long- run relationship between the Trade Openness and Exchange Rate.

The analysis findings show that the openness has a negative effect on Exchange Rate in the short-run and Long-run, there is also a shortand long-term equilibrium relationship between trade openness and the exchange rate rate, and the actual deviation from the balance between the variables is corrected by 48.36%, starting in the current year and reaching about two years and a month ago.

The study recommended the necessity of balanced Openness to reduce the deficit in the Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates in Sudan.