قياس استجابة محددات الطلب على احتياطات الصرف الأجنبي نتيجة انخفاض الواردات باستخدام نموذج VAR: حالة الجزائر 1970-2020

الملخص EN

This study measured the effect of the imports reduction on foreign exchange reserves in Algeria, and analysis of its effects on the rest of the demand function determinants 1970-2020 using VAR model.

it’s concluded that the determinants used came with a very strong explanatory power more than 97%, as the results showed that theim ports reducing value by 2.5% for the next 5 years would raise reserves by 115.31%, which 151.58 billion $ in 2025, and increase the gross domestic product by 7.49%, and the dinar- dollar exchange rate by 17.32%.