الآثار المحتملة للتغيرات المناخية على الأخطار الصحية المرتبطة بالعقارب في مصر، بالتطبيق على محافظة أسيوط : دراسة باستخدام نظم المعلومات الجغرافية

الملخص EN

The relationship between climate conditions and biodiversity is an exceptionally reliable relationship.

the climate affects biodiversity and its spatial distribution, behavior, and characteristics.

as well, any change in those climatic conditions poses a direct threat to that biodiversity, including a change in the behavior and characteristics of these biological species and a change inappropriate pattern.

furthermore, the spatial presence could affect the extinction of some species and their complete loss as a direct result of climatic changes if these biological species are unable to adapt to those changes.

scorpions are one of those biological species that are affected in their spatial distribution, characteristics, and behavior by climate conditions fluctuations, especially the health risks associated with the stings of poisonous scorpions, which leads to high rates of diseases and deaths associated with them, in addition, scorpions represents an important source for extracting some types of vaccines and medicines, making them an important economic source, prompting the need to preserve these biological species in the current changing of climatic conditions while taking all necessary precautions to reduce the health risks associated with them.

the current study aims to analyze the prevalence of scorpions in Egypt and the impact of climate conditions and climate change on this distribution and the associated health and medical risks because of their stings.

the study relied on spatial analysis of geographical variations of scorpion stings, current climatic conditions, climate changes, statistical models, and spatial analyzes to determine correlations and identify potential risk ranges for scorpion stings.

as well, determining the dangers of scorpion stings and their geo-environmental and climatic conditions is of importance to policymakers, ecologists, and toxicologists, as it serves as the beginning of the trend toward creating a very detailed database for geo-epidemiological monitoring of the spatio-temporal patterns of scorpion distribution ; to enable public health officials in Egypt to address scorpion stings and determine the necessary antivenoms for them.

the study ended with defining the current and potential risk ranges for scorpion stings and their spatial levels, creating maps of the spatial and temporal distributions of scorpion stings, and determining the environmental conditions and appropriateness for the presence of scorpions, and creating maps of potential risk coefficients for scorpions under the current climatic conditions and their potential changes.

the study recommends that establishing a national project for epidemiological surveillance of scorpions and their risks in the current and potential climate changes to develop a possible scenario for the distribution of all species, determine the environments and toxic properties, and identify dangerous species and species of importance to prevent the dangers of the first and take advantage of the importance of the second.