تحليل قدرة مصر التنافسية مع بعض دول حوض النيل

الملخص EN

With the emergence of the fact of the weakness of the inter-trade between Egypt and the Nile Basin countries and the quest to achieve the goal of the research, which is to analyze Egypt’s competitive ability in trade with some Nile Basin countries (such as Kenya and Tanzania) by applying some of the economic trade indicators of trade such as exports similarity index between Egypt, Kenya and Tanzania.

It turns out that despite their presence in one market, the trade opportunities between them are limited due to the similarity of their agricultural production and export structures.

While the value of the trade compatibility index between the Egyptian agricultural exports and agricultural imports from Kenya and Tanzania reached more than 90%, which means that there is a trade compatibility between the Egyptian agricultural exports and agricultural imports in Kenya and Tanzania, which means that both Kenya and Tanzania represent a suitable market for the products of The Egyptian agricultural exports, as high the index of agricultural exports compatibility with agricultural imports means that Egypt is a source of agricultural imports to the Nile Basin countries more than a market for agricultural exports in the Nile Basin countries.

This means that the opportunities for the expansion of Egyptian agricultural exports to the Nile Basin countries exceed the opportunities for the expansion of agricultural exports from the Nile Basin countries to Egypt.

Agricultural products from the Nile Basin countries replace the agricultural products that Egypt imports from the world.

While the indicator of trade compatibility between the Egyptian agricultural imports and agricultural exports to both Kenya and Tanzania was high, meaning that both of them represent a suitable market for Egyptian agricultural imports, beside it was found that Tanzania has more capacity than Kenya to provide Egypt's needs of agricultural commodities due to its higher index than Kenya.

As for the index of exports coverage of imports, it was found that it is irregular in its ups and downs in Egypt, Kenya and Tanzania, and this is due to the fact that the net exports of these countries are negative, which means that exports are less than imports in those countries.