التوجيه الإقتصادى الأمثل للصادرات المصرية لمحصولي البرتقال و البصل بمنطقة شرق و جنوب أفريقيا (الكوميسا)‎

الملخص EN

Agricultural foreign trade plays a major role in the Egyptian national economy.

so the research aimed to study trade exchange between Egypt and COMESA in the agricultural field during the period 2001-2019.

and to determine the optimal proposed geographical distribution for exports of the Egyptian orange and onion crops (one of the most important export crops for COMESA) During the period 2015-2019.

and to achieve this goal.

the research used the linear programming method.

The results showed that the value of the Egyptian agricultural trade balance with COMESA during the research period fluctuated between deficit (in the majority of research years) and surplus.

as the lowest value of the deficit reached about -29.56 million dollars in 2004.

and the maximum value of the deficit reached about -270.57 million dollars in 2019.

as it reached the lowest The value of the surplus was about $ 23.63 million in 2006.

and the maximum value of the surplus was about $ 93.29 million in 2010.

and the Egyptian agricultural trade balance with COMESA achieved an average surplus for the research period amounting to about $ -94.98 million.

while the deficit in the Egyptian agricultural trade balance with the world was an average for a period.

The research is about -1530.35 million dollars.

The total Egyptian trade balance with COMESA achieved an average surplus for the research period.

which amounted to about 557.90 million dollars.

The results also showed that the highest export revenue of Egyptian oranges to COMESA countries can be obtained from the proposed first model (the free model) when directing its exports to Kenya.

which is about 5.924 tons.

The total return from this proposed directive is estimated at about $ 4.12 million.

compared to $ 4.06 million from Actual guidance.

which means that the proposed directive achieves an increase of about 0.06 million dollars.

representing about 1.48% of the actual total return during the period 2015-2019.

in addition to that the highest export return of Egyptian onions to COMESA countries can be obtained from the first proposed model (The free model) when directing its exports to Libya of about 5790 tons.

where the total return from this direction is estimated at about $ 3.37 million.

compared to $ 3.27 million from the actual directive.

which means that the proposed directive achieves an increase of about $ 0.10 million.

representing about 3.06% of the return.

The actual total during the period 2015-2019.

and the research recommends paying attention to providing the requirements of the COMESA countries' markets.

especially those that maximize the export revenue from exports of Egyptian oranges and onions.

to identify the obstacles facing the increase in exports.

One of the results of research for the producers and exporters for them.

and the necessity to open new markets for both research crops and maintain the current markets.

so that exports of both research crops will be concentrated in a limited number of COMESA countries.