دراسة جدوى لمشروع إنتاج ألبان في محافظة أسيوط

الملخص EN

The animal production sector in Egypt focuses on dairy cattle breeding projects.

as it is the main source for meeting the demand for milk and its products as one of the sources of animal protein needed for the human body because it contains the necessary nutrients.

The problem of the study is the decrease in the supplied quantities of milk compared to the increasing demand for it in light of the continuous increase of the population.

which resulted in a decrease in the average per capita share of it from the global rates.

which requires the need to work on increasing the projects devoted to the production of milk in order to reduce the gap between production and consumption.

The research aims to evaluate one of the dairy projects in Assiut governorate with a feasibility study through the application of financial and economic evaluation indicators for the project.

while identifying the degree of expected investment risk.

The research relied on two methods of descriptive and quantitative analysis to analyze the data and interpret the results related to the research topic through the use of mathematical and statistical methods and the method of regression analysis by the method of least squares to estimate the general temporal trend of some of the variables under study in addition to the criteria for financial and economic evaluation of projects.

The most important findings and recommendations were as follows: 1- It was found that the quantities produced from milk in Assiut governorate it amounted to about 306 thousand tons.

which represents about 5.5% of the total of Egypt during the same period.

2- The investment costs of a dairy cattle farm in Assiut Governorate were estimated at about 642 thousand pounds.

which include the value of both the land and the preparation of buildings and the value of machinery and equipment.

and the value of dairy cows and they represent about 1%.

9% .

4.5 % and 86 %of the total investment costs.

respectively.

3- The annual operating costs of the farm were estimated at about 267 thousand pounds.

which includes.

the value of concentrated.

dry and green fodder.

which represents about 59%.

15%.

4.5% of the total operating costs.

and the value of workers' wages and care veterinary costs.

electricity and water.

and transportation costs are estimated at 13.5%.

7%.

0.5 %.

0.5%.

of the total operating costs.

4- The farm's revenues amounted to about 748 thousand pounds.

which is the value of the sale of calves.

the value of the milk sold.

and the municipal fertilizer.

and it is estimated at about 45%.

53%.

2% of the total farm revenues.

5- By comparing the internal rate of return with the opportunity expense of the alternative investment at a discount rate.

in light of the three assumptions under study.

the project's ability to withstand unfavorable changes is evident.

as it was estimated at about 50%.

45%.

and 46% for each of the three assumptions.

respectively.

Recommendations: 1- Implementing the project that has proven its economic viability.

while encouraging investments directed to it with the aim of expanding dairy production projects.

2- Providing incentive with low interest loans to farmers for the purpose of purchasing production requirements while extending the loam repayment period.

3- Providing extension courses on feasibility studies related to milk production within the governorate to improve farmers' income.

4- provision of feed and vaccines.

while providing production inputs at reasonable prices and high quality to ensure high productivity.