التجارة البينية بين الدول العربية : (الواقع و المأمول)‎

الملخص EN

A lot of economic changes have occurred on the international scene, some of which were in the establishment of economic blocs, which have become a tool to maximize the ability of the parties to these agreements and benefit from them to develop their economic and commercial capacity, and as a result of large-scale fluctuations in global economic and political changes and the widening scope of the impact of global economic agreements, foreign trade has been linked to Arab countries With the forces of global politics more than they are related to the forces of the Arab market, which was reflected in the low rates of inter-Arab trade exchange.

It is memorable that, despite the various forms of Arab treaties, decisions and agreements aimed at improving the conditions for inter-Arab exchange, the Arab doors are still wide open for imports from various countries and agreements, and therefore the reality of inter-trade exchange is still without its actual capabilities.

Also, the problem of the study is the weak rates of Arab trade, which helped to decrease the volume of inter-Arab trade .

It follows from the search results: Through the previous analysis, attracting factors of trade and other factors exiting trade were reached, where the factors of attraction are the distance between countries, the gross domestic product of both exporting and importing countries, and also there are some attractive agreements for trade.

While the factors that drive trade away are the exchange rate, and some agreements are not in the interest of Arab countries In general, it is clear that there is no significant effect of most Arab agreements on intra-Arab trade for most Arab countries.

Also, it was found that for many Arab countries, the exchange rate did not have a significant impact on interArab agricultural trade, and it can be explained that most of them are food which means they represent a necessary commodity and are not affected by the exchange rate - There is an increase in the actual (current) trade situation for intra-Arab trade in the countries under study from the optimal situation (derived from the model) for the average period (2015-2017) .

- There are countries in which intra-regional trade does not take place between them and other Arab countries such as Iraq, Yemen, Comoros, and Libya and thus represent new markets for the volume of trade in them .

- The exports of the Arab countries achieved a real situation better than the expected situation, with an increase rate of about 82.69% .

- The imports of the Arab countries achieved a real situation better than the expected situation, with a decrease rate of about 83.03% .

- Egypt's exports achieved an actual situation better than the expected situation, with an increase rate of about 68.90%.

Likewise, for imports, it achieved an actual situation better than the expected situation with an increase rate of about 73.49% .