اقتصاديات إنتاج و استهلاك الألبان في مصر

الملخص EN

2- The average number of buffalo in Egypt was about 3830 thousand heads, with a change rate of 10.98 thousand heads, and the annual growth rate was about 0.287%.

3- The average number of sheep in Egypt was about 5281 thousand heads, the rate of change was about 52.33 thousand heads, and the annual growth rate was 0.990%.

4- The average number of goats in Egypt was about 3980 thousand heads, the amount of change was 41.60 thousand head, and the annual growth rate was estimated at 1.04%.

5- The average number of camels in Egypt was about 139 thousand heads, and the amount of change was about 0.337 thousand heads, and the annual growth rate was estimated at 242%.

6- The average number of camels in Egypt was about 1395 thousand heads, and the amount of change was -4.76 thousand heads, and the annual growth rate was estimated at 0.341%.

7- The average production of cows in Egypt during the period 2000-2017 was about 2712.3 thousand tons, the amount of change was about 64.45 thousand heads, and the annual growth rate was 2.38%.

8- The average buffalo production in Egypt was about 2466.5 thousand tons, the amount of change was about 13.24 thousand tons, and the annual growth rate was estimated at 0.537%.

9- The average sheep production in Egypt reached about 125.9 thousand tons, the amount of change was -0.185 thousand tons, and the annual growth rate was estimated at 0.15%.

10- There is a direct relationship between the average amount of milk consumed and the average per capita income per pound (Q1), the population of one million people (Q2), and the retail price of eggs (kg4), as an increase 1% of these variables leads to an average increase The amount of milk consumed increased by 16.9%, 11.0% and 5.8%, respectively, and the relationship was reversed between the retail price of milk and the amount consumed, which amounted to about 9.6%, meaning that the retail price of milk per kilo 1% leads to a decrease in the amount consumed by milk by about 9.6%.

11- LArima's best model is (2,0,1), and that the model follows the normal distribution, where the value of p of the quantity consumed is the amount produced, and the self-sufficiency ratio of milk is about 0.78 0.51, 0.56.