تحليل اقتصادي للصادرات القطنية المصرية

الملخص EN

The research aimed to study the current situation of Egyptian cotton exports.

through: (1) Studing the development of Egyptian cotton statistics during the period (2000- 2017).

(2) Identifing the main features of the global market for Extra fine cottons and Egypt's position in this market.

(3) Statistical estimating evaluation of the global demand for Egyptian cotton (4) Identifing the reasons for the decrease of Egyptian cotton exports and suggestion some recommendations for their development.

The research had come to some important results and conclusion can be summarized a: (1) Decreasing the cultivated area.

feddan yield and total production of the cotton crop in Egypt with an annual statistically significant decrease rate estimated by about 7%.

3.7%.

and 10.7% respectively during the period (2000- 2017).

(2) Decreasing the exports.

consumption and stock at a statistically significant annual rate of decrease estimated by about 7.7%.

11.1% and 13.1% respectively during the research period.

(3) Egypt is considered one of the most important countries producing extra- fine cotton in the world during the research period.

as it contributed with about 28.83% of the annual average global production of these cotton.

which is about 554.33 thousand tons.

followed by U.

S.

A.

China.

India.

Turkmenistan.

Sudan and Israel with rates of 23.87%.

19.22%.

13.58%.

3.90%.

2.96% and 2.33% respectively.

(4) U.

S.

A.

is considered one of the most important countries exporting extra fine cotton in the world during the research period.

as it contributed about 45.37% of the annual average of world cotton exports of about 278.95 thousand tons.

followed by Egypt.

Turkmenistan.

Sudan.

China and Israel.

with rates of 25.56%.

6.63%.

5.87%.

5.65%.

and 5% respectively.

knowing that.

India uses its production for local consumption and its average exports were only about one thousand tons during the research period.

(5) Local production of cotton is affected by cultivated area and time.

while the local consumption of cotton is affected by production and imports.

but Egyptian cotton exports is affected by American exports.

the relative price between Egyptian cotton and American cotton and the international price of polyester.

as the local cotton stock of Egypt is affected by the local stock in the previous year and the local consumption.

In light of the findings of the research.

it is proposed to develop the Egyptian cotton exports at the same time to work on the following: (1) Directing production of Egyptian extra fine cotton for export to global markets in the form of raw cotton or lint cotton.

as well as to meet the needs of Egyptian factories specialized (No.

40 and more).

(2) Growing the short and medium staple cotton in Egypt addition to make agricultural research institutes national plan for selecting medium and short staple strains that are generally suitable for the Egyptian environment and make a geographical map of it.