أثر الطاقة الإنتاجية من الأعلاف في تنمية الثروة الحيوانية في محافظة الوادي الجديد

الملخص EN

The problem of the study is summarized in the low of contribution percentage for the New Valley in the Egyptian animal production despite the availability of expansion enablers of animal farming in it, which caused an expansion in the food gap and a decrease in the self-sufficiency rate of red meat in Egypt, then made the government turn to importing to meet the increasing needs for people.

Therefore, the research aimed at identifying the role of fodders production in increasing the animal production in the New Valley, as it is considered one of the most promising desert governorates to improve the animal sector and meet the food gap of animal products.

The research depend on the time-series data issued by some statistical publications of the Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation, as well as on both descriptive and quantitative statistical methods to achieve its goals.

The research reached many findings.

the most important of these findings are represented in the following:  The study found that there is an annual decrease in the production of both green and manufactured fodders in Egypt, which is considered one of the most serious challenges facing the growth of animal sector and its role in meeting the needs of animal protein in Egypt.

 The results showed a sharp fluctuation and also a relative decrease in the numbers of red meat livestock in the New Valley Governorate compared to its total numbers in the Republic, as its relative importance (as averages for the study period) amounted to about 2.9% for cows, 0.02% for buffaloes, 1.5% for sheep, 2.3 For goats, 1.1% for camels.

 The findings of this study indicated that the available production of green and dry fodders in the New Valley governorate can cover the requirements of them.

The needs of green and dry fodder is amounted to about 537.31 and 185.93 thousand tons, respectively on average for the period (2003-2017), while The available quantities of green and dry fodders were amounted to 2582, 228 thousand tons, respectively on the same period.

This mean that there is a high surplus in these fodders, which estimated at 2044.7, 42.04 thousand tons for each of them, respectively.

Therefore, the coverage percentage of needs for green and dry fodders was reached to about 480.54% and 122.6%, for both of them respectively.

 The study showed a deficit in the manufactured fodders in the New Valley which estimated at 19.86 thousand tons on average during the study period, where animal needs from manufactured fodders is amounted to 179.86 thousand tons, while the available quantities are estimated at 160 thousand tons, so the coverage percentage of the needs for the manufactured fodders was 88.96%.

 The findings indicated that the quantity of the manufactured fodders has the first position in terms of its contribution in increasing the number of animal units in the New Valley Governorate, which followed by the quantity of green fodders, and lastly, the quantity of dry fodders.

 The marginal substitution rate between the quantity of green and non-green fodders is amounted to about 0.32, which means that, in order to achieve the economic efficiency from the usage of both green and non-green fodders, the marginal substitution rate must be equal to their price ratio.

Finally, The study concluded with a set of recommendations.

The most important of these recommendations is the necessity to increase the number of fodders factories and to increase the capacity of existing factories in order to cover the deficit in manufactured fodders, and encouraging on producing the unconventional fodders and exploiting the agricultural residues in feeding animals.