دراسة إقتصادية لأهم المتغيرات المؤثرة على السياسة الزراعية المصرية لمحصول القمح

الملخص EN

This Research explains the following The research aims at identifying the role of the national reform policy on the production.

pricing and marketing policies of wheat crop.

whether direct or indirect.

protectionism and taxation.

such as the implicit strike on production and imports.

The research explains the Following:- 1- The production policy showed that the breadth of the deep gap increased from 4.5 million tons in 2000 to about 10.1 million tons in 10.1 million tons in 2016 and in estimating the general security trend equation for both cultivated area and total wheat production during the study period (2000 - 2016) showed an annual increase of 68.01 thousand feddans of cultivated area.

198 thousand tons of total production.

2- The study of price relations showed that by estimating the general time trend equations during the study period (2000-2016).

there was a statistically significant increase in each of the local agricultural prices by 156.4 pounds/ton.

the import price is 133.1 pounds/ton and the border price is 142.5 pounds/Ton 3- The study of marketing policy features revealed that full liberalization was completed since 1992 in the agricultural sector.

Since September 1997.

the agricultural land has become completely free according to the demand and supply.

The state has implemented a number of reforms such as canceling the supply of wheat and all agricultural crops.

The compulsory agricultural composition was abolished by the installation of a reference crop based on the relative profitability of different crops.

interest rate liberalization.

price liberalization and foreign trade.

gradually privatizing the sector's companies.

4- The study shows that the general trend of net return during the period (2000-2016) has taken an annual general trend of about 212.2 pounds / fed.

representing about 8.30% of the average net yield per feddan which reached 2555.8 pounds/feddan.

5- As shown by the results of the measurement of the agricultural policy analysis matrix for the wheat crop during the study period (2000-2016).

the coefficient of the nominal protection of production (NB co) reached almost one true.

This indicates that the agricultural policy is neutral and fair.

NBCI) has reached almost one true and indicates that the agricultural policy is neutral and fair.

and the NBC is about 0.92.

which is less than the correct one.

indicating that the prices of the inputs used in wheat production are lower than their international prices.

State provided support for these inputs m His home 54.6 pounds/acre during the study period (2000-2016) during the study period accounted for 8% of the world price of these supplies.

amounting 683.235 pounds.

The coefficient of effective protection during the period (2000-2016) was about (1.01).

which is greater than the correct one.

It indicates an increase in the value added of wheat at local prices compared to its global counterparts.

However.

the increase rate is very low at about 55.14 pounds per feddan as an average for the study period (2000-2016) Which is equivalent to 0.01% of the value added at international prices.

This means that the commodity is produced under the protection of the state during the period of study referred to previously and that this productive activity receives incentives or support of the product at a very small rate equivalent to 0.01 as the coefficient of cost of financial resources Relative to about 0.48 during the period 2000-2016) This means that wheat production locally is better than imported from abroad.

Recommends 1- It is therefore necessary to increase agricultural development in general and wheat in particular as follows: A- Horizontal and Vertical expansion to increase agricultural production and wheat.

B- Developing water resources and rationalizing their use to increase agricultural development.

C- reduce the critic of the wheat crop.

D- The workers of the legislation necessary for the renewal of the offspring.

2- Agricultural price policy specialists set the minimum farm price to close to the world price before the wheat planting time is sufficient.

encouraging farmers to cultivate.

3- Providing production inputs and supporting farmers through cooperatives.

4- Establishment of marketing associations at the level of each province and attention to contractual crops to help farmers identify all marketing information and access to markets.