أثر انسياب التجارة الخارجية لأهم صادرات الخضر المصرية

الملخص EN

Foreign trade plays a major role in the Egyptian economy.

Exports are considered the most important aspects of foreign trade for their main role in financing economic and social development plans.

Export is an important issue in Egypt after the decline in the value of exports and the increase in the value of imports.

Trade.

which amounted to 447.4 billion pounds in 2016.

and the State seeks to develop the total exports.

including agricultural exports in order to fill the deficit in the Egyptian trade balance.

where Egypt has a comparative advantage high in many agricultural commodities such as vegetables.

and can be relied on The Egyptian vegetable companies are increasing the export earnings of foreign exchange as they represent about 18% of the total value of agricultural exports in 2016.

Egyptian exports of vegetables are concentrated in a limited number of crops.

which is not in line with policies aimed at developing agricultural exports.

These exports are concentrated mostly in a limited number of Arab countries and European Union countries.

These exports have many Arab.

European.

Asian.

African and American markets..

This means that the exported quantities can be increased and directed to non-traditional markets.

In addition.

the exports of vegetables were characterized by volatility and instability during the period (1995-20016).

which led to fluctuation in export revenues.

which requires studying the annual growth and growth in Egyptian vegetable exports.

The study aims to study the evolution of the price.

quantity and value of the most important Egyptian exports of vegetables (potatoes.

onions.

green beans and strawberries).

and study the geographical concentration of these crops.

in addition to studying the most important factors affecting the development of exports of the most important vegetables The Egyptian into groups of different countries using the flow of trade model (gravity) model.

The research was based on descriptive and quantitative analysis to study the changes in Egyptian exports of potatoes.

onions.

green beans and strawberries.

such as linear regression method.

as well as some economic indicators such as commodity concentration index and geographic distribution coefficient.

The research relied on published and unpublished data from various sources such as the Central Agency (FAO).

the United Nations web site.

the World Bank website.

and various references.

studies and publications dealing with Egyptian agricultural exports.

The results showed that the amount of potato exports is relatively stable due to the low coefficient of variation of 40.0%.

while the value of potato exports is unstable due to the high coefficient of difference of 71.2%.

The results indicated that the quantity and value of Egyptian green bean exports are relatively unstable due to the high coefficient of difference of 77.3% and 120.2% respectively.

and the study of the relative stability of exports.

Strawberries by calculating the coefficient of variation As an indicator of relative stability.

it is clear that the quantity and value of strawberry exports characterized by relative instability due to the high coefficient of variation of 107.7% and 131.5%.

respectively.

The geographical concentration factor for export value was 43.3.

51.

36.2 and 38.5 for each of the previous crops.

respectively.