دراسة اقتصادية لتنافسية العنب المصري في أهم أسواقه الخارجية

الملخص EN

The main objective of this research is to study Egyptian grapes competitiveness in major foreign markets.

To achieve its objective, some competitive indicators have been applied for the studies crop on the level of the competitive countries in addition to estimating the gravity model which is based on cross sectional data representing the number of countries and time series representing the years of the economic variables of the countries included in the model during the period (2013-2017).

Some of the results of the research are: 1.

Egypt ranked thirteenth among the most important grape producing countries in the world and raked among the most important grape exporters in the world by exports represent about 2.6% of the total world exports of grape during the period (2013-2017).

2.

The annual rate of increase in the quantity of production , the quantity of exports, the value of exports price per ton of Egyptian grapes were estimated at 1.6% , 9.1% , 11.9% and 5.8%, respectively for the period (2005 - 2017) 3.

In the estimation of the competitive indicators of the imported markets for Egyptian grapes, namely the markets of England , the Netherlands , Russia , Germany , The UAE , Kuwait and Oman where there markets accounted for more than 75% of the total Egyptian exports of grapes, the results showed that Egypt did not enjoy a competitive price advantage countries competing in all markets, which reflects the enjoyment of Egyptian grapes quality and preference of some consumers , despite the rise its relative price.

4.

The results of the market share analysis and the penetration rate of the market indicate that the Egyptian grapes were occupied late positions among the countries competing in most markets reflecting the difficulty of penetrating these markets and the fierce competition faced by Egyptian exports, it also show the possibility of expanding grapes exports is Russian market and considered a promising market for Egyptian grape exports.

5.

The results of the estimation of the augmented gravity model showed that the increase in per capital GDP of importing countries by 1% to the increase of Egypt's grape exports is these countries by 1.02% while increasing the geographical distance between Egypt and each of the importing countries by 1% for the decline of grapes exports to those countries by 1.2% with the stability of other factors.

6.

The results also showed that the UK , the Netherlands, Germany , Russia , UAE, Oman and Kuwait , contributed to the increase in Egyptian grape exports by 4.43% , 3.21% , 2.2% , 2.1% , 1.5% , 0.69% , 0.63% respectively during the period under review.

Finally, the research recommends that the necessity of working to preserve the Egyptian grape markets by paying attention to planning for the production of grapes for exports to expand grapes exports to promising markets, the need for a strategic planning for the production of grapes for exports to expand grapes exports to promising markets , the need to provide an information base on all the foreign markets to serve the production and marketing sectors.