تحليل اقتصادي للقدرة التنافسية العالمية لصادرات مصر من البصل و الثوم

الملخص EN

Onion and garlic are among the export crops that can contribute to the provision of foreign exchange, and it was noted that the small percentage of their contribution to the value of Egyptian agricultural exports.

the research mainly aims to measure the competitiveness of Egyptian exports of onion and garlic crops, among the most important results of the study ; the annual increase rate of onion consumption exceeds the rate of increase in domestic production, the study predicted an increase in the amount of onion exports to approximately 716 thousand tons in 2030, with an expected value of about 377 million dollars, and an expected local production of about 5.541 million tons.

and it predicted the expected quantity of garlic exports to be about 126,000 tons, with an expected value of about $ 177 million in 2030, and explained that Egypt enjoys an apparent comparative advantage in Egyptian onion exports during the study period.

the average market share of Egyptian onion exports was about 5.8%, and the penetration rate of Egyptian onion exports to international markets was low, as its index ranged between a minimum of 0.001% in India and a maximum of 0.49% in Saudi Arabia.

the average export price ranged between a minimum of $ 209 / ton for Lebanon and a maximum of $ 396 / ton for the United Kingdom.

seasonal evidence indicates that the month of May is the best month of the year for exporting onions and maximizing the proceeds of its exports.

with regard to garlic exports, it became clear that the value of the apparent comparative advantage index for its exports was estimated at about 1.64, and the market share for garlic exports was estimated at 0.55%.

it was found that the penetration rate of its exports to international markets was low, as it ranged from a minimum of 0.001% in the United States to a maximum of 0.39% in Slovenia.

the geographical concentration coefficient for each of the quantity and value of Egyptian garlic exports was about 36.2, 34.4, and the average export price ranged between a minimum for Lebanon amounting to 537 dollars / ton and a maximum of 1730 dollars / ton for Spain.

the seasonal guide for Egypt's garlic exports indicates that February is the best month of the year for exporting garlic and maximizing its export yield.

the study recommended working on vertical expansion in the production of onions and garlic by providing varieties of seeds and seedlings with higher productivity and better specifications, providing production requirements at reduced costs, providing agricultural extension and modern agricultural technical packages, while using and applying the results of previous research and experiences.

also, conduct studies on target markets and competition.