تقدير الطلب على صادرات القطن المصري في أهم الأسواق الخارجية

الملخص EN

Egyptian cotton is considered one of the finest types of cotton in the world due to its superiority in quality, spinning characteristics and staple length.

however, its area has recently decreased from 933.1 thousand acres in 1990 to about 183.10 thousand acres in 2020, which led to a decrease in production and then a decrease in cotton exports.

the research aims to study the demand elasticity for Egyptian cotton in the most important foreign markets using the semi-optimal demand model.

results indicate that the most important varieties of cotton exported by Egypt are uncombed cotton, cotton threads that contain more than 85% of the cotton, and cotton threads prepared for retail sale, representing about 93.95% of the total amount of cotton exports, about 88.13% of the total value.

cotton exports during the period (2017-2021).

it was found from the price elasticities that the prices of Egyptian cotton exports have effects on the demand for uncombed cotton in the Indian market, and 85% cotton yarn in the Turkish market.

cross elasticities indicate that Egypt is a strong competitor to the American uncombed cotton exports in the Indian market.

it is a strong competitor to Brazil in the Pakistani market, and the spending elasticities for exports of non-combed Egyptian cotton, cotton yarns ready for retailing, and 85% cotton yarns indicate that it increases spending on it with increased spending in all the markets under study.

the study recommends increasing the amount of Egyptian cotton exports to India, Tunisia and turkey, where there is a competitive substitution al relationship in favor of Egypt.