دراسة اقتصادية لاستجابة عرض محصول فول الصويا في مصر

الملخص EN

The problem of the research is the decrease in the area cultivated with soybeans during the study period (2000-2021), so the research aimed to study the response of the soybean crop supply using the Nirlove model to identify the most important variables affecting the area cultivated with the crop during a general slowdown period.

the results showed the annual increase in area, production, farm price, revenue, costs, net return, consumption, loss, import volume, available as animal feed, available for industry from soybeans, while the self-sufficiency rate decreased by studying the supply response function of the soybean crop, it was found that the most influential variables on the area cultivated with soybeans in the current year are productivity, price, costs and net yield with a general slowdown period.

by studying the supply response function of the most important variables associated with competing crops of soybeans, represented in maize and peanut crops, it was found that these variables are the per feddan productivity, costs, net yield of maize and peanuts, the ratio of soybean costs to corn costs, the profitability ratio of soybeans to the profitability of corn, and the ratio of bean costs.

soybean to peanut costs and the profitability ratio of soybean to peanut profitability.

and the most important proposed scenarios for increasing the production of soybeans is loading the crop on some crops such as maize, sugar cane and fruit trees, with replacing part of the area of sorghum with soybean cultivation.

contract farming had a role in providing a guarantee price for the farmer, encouraging him to grow the crop so that he would get the highest price.

one of the most important recommendations : -cultivation of highly productive varieties resistant to the cotton worm.

-guiding farmers on the importance of loading soybeans on some crops such as maize, sugar cane and fruit trees -providing production requirements to farmers at reasonable price.