تقدير محددات سعر الصرف في السودان خلال الفترة من (1990-2021)‎

الملخص EN

The study tested the relationship between growth domestic product, foreign currency reserves, inflation, trade openness and exchange rate in Sudan, using time series data which covering the period(1990-2021), and autoregressive distributed lagged model(ARDL), to discovering the short and long run relationship, it found that there is a negative effect to growth domestic product, foreign currency reserves, trade openness on exchange rate, whereas inflation has a positive effect on exchange rate, and that only growth domestic product has a significant effect in the long run.

It recommended increasing the production capacity of priority sectors to improve the position of exports to increase foreign currency earnings and maintain the stability of the exchange rate.