أثر التغير المناخي على استراتيجية التنمية المستدامة في مصر: دراسة قياسية

الملخص EN

The study shows climate change, its recent development, and its physical and social consequences, with a special focus on economic growth and the implementation of sustainable development goals in Egypt.

the study reviews relevant previous studies to determine the mechanism and contexts that generate the interdependence between climate change and economy, assess the relative importance of climate as an obstacle to the goals of sustainable development in Egypt.

the arch model was applied to estimate the impact of climate change on sustainable development in Egypt, which is represented by the following independent variables: (carbon dioxide emissions, fossil fuel consumption, fresh water per capita, renewable energy consumption) and economic growth rate.

the arch model was applied due to the fluctuation of the time series between ups and downs, and the validity of the estimate was confirmed by applying the ARCH EFFEC test and the serial correlation test, the model resulted in a significant positive relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and the economy growth in Egypt as one of the pillars of sustainable development, which has been confirmed by many previous studies.