نظم و سياسات سعر الصرف في السودان و أثرهما على التجارة الخارجية خلال الفترة من 1990-2011 م

الملخص EN

The research aimed at studying exchange rate systems and policies that affecting and encouraging foreign trade in Sudan with special emphasis on the export sector.

The research adopted the descriptive and analytical method followed by statistical and econometric methods for testing the stability of time series for the study variables during the period 1990-2011 through using E-views Program.

The research indicated that the study dependent variables “exports, foreign investment and imports” were strongly interrelated with its independent variable “Exchange rate”.

Also, it indicated the existence of a positive relationship between foreign investments (Fi) ; imports (Im) as dependent variables and exchange rate (Ex) as independent variable.

Moreover, it shed the light on the positive relationship between exports (Xp) and the exchange rate (Ex).

The study recommended the adoption of a free exchange rate system because it would lead to economic prosperity, besides stopping the adoption of the devaluation system which may lead to balance of payment deficit.

Furthermore, more attention should be given for the activation of the export sector in order to reduce the heavy dependence on imports.