محددات التجارة الخارجية في الجزائر

الملخص EN

The goal of this study is to examine determinants of Algerian foreign trade.

In the empirical analysis we use a sample comprising over the years (1990-2010) of annually data and the VAR model produce sensible impulse response function (IFRS) and variance decomposition (VDCS) for the main of this study.

In first hand, the impulse responses analysis concluded there are positive responses of Algerian exports to oil price, eurous dollar exchange rate, GDP world, crude exports index as explanatory variables excepts financial crises period.

It found that aggregate import demand is positively affected by real gross domestic product Non-Oil, reserve exchange rate and negatively impact by real effective exchange rate in the other hand.

In addition, the variance decomposition reveals that importance of variables this study to play roles in determining exports and Imports functions in short and long run