استخدام نموذج قياسي للكشف عن محددات ديون السودان الخارجية خلال الفترة 1980-2008 م

الملخص EN

The study dealt with some of the aspects and the true dimensions to the external )foreign Sudanese debts( problem by scientific methodology committed to the methods and the tools of the scientific research, determining the usage of the standard macroeconomic models and its most important model the time series models, and the simultaneous equations in identifying the main determinants in the exacerbation of the Sudanese debts.

This paper aimed to presenting standard analytical study for the Sudanese foreign-external debts out of Sudan and the reasons of its exacerbation in the study period and building or designing multi- equational model to achieve the goal.

The researcher used the standard approach to extract or gain compatible results to the economical reality, and it was concluded that the debt crisis which was a natural product of the properties that characterize the developing countries and for the funding crisis those countries live, also the Macroeconomic variables which affect and effect due to the external debts.

The most important recommendations was to establishing assembly for the debtor countries as Paris club and London for the unifying of the positions and to strength the debtors position when the time of the negotiations, and the necessity of concerning by the collecting, classifying and the displaying the data of the all economical phenomena and to prepare reports by scientific and practical methods to publish, and the concerning about the exports its diversification and developing because it’s the main source for the Foreign currency to face Sudan’s external-debt service.