أثر أسعار النفط على حركة أسعار الأسهم في سلطنة عمان

الملخص EN

This study focused on the impact of oil prices on some of the macroeconomic variables and then on stock prices during the period 2005-2016 in the Omani economy based on the monthly data.

Using the unit root test according to the extended Diky Fuller test to determine the stability of the series, as well as the analysis of co-integration using the Johnson test to determine the long-term equilibrium relationship between the study variables.

In addition to using the error correction model to access the long and short term relationship between variables.

The study found that the chains are stable in the first difference.

There is also one vector of integration in the sense that there is one long-term relationship between the variables according to the Johnson test.

As for the nature of the relationship between the variables, it was found that there is a positive relationship between the oil prices and the consumer price index and the public expenditure on indicator MSM 30 for Muscat Stock Market.

The Gross domestic product has inversely related to the same indicator