أثر تقلبات أسعار النفط على النمو الاقتصادي في الجزائر : دراسة قياسية خلال الفترة 1990-2015

الملخص EN

The purpose behind this study is to determine the impact of fluctuations in oil prices on the economic growth in Algeria, through the study of the causal relationship between the variables of the study during the period 1990-2015, using the measuring models “integration method, Granger’s causality, as well as error correction model”.

The study results indicated that there is a causal relationship in the long and short term in one direction, which reflected the impact of fluctuations in oil prices on economic growth in Algeria, in that the economic growth in Algeria is linked directly and strongly with the level of oil prices.

This reflects the subordination of the Algerian economy to the oil revenues.

The lack of a causal relationship between economic growth and oil is noticed in that oil prices are not affected by the economic growth rates in Algeria, whatever the degree of volatility of these rates.