اختبار فرضيات دالة الاستهلاك في الاقتصاد الأردني للمدة (2000-2016)‎ : دراسة تطبيقية

الملخص EN

The research aims to test the hypotheses of the consumption function in the Jordanian economy according to the Keynesian consumption function and the Koyck lag model for the period (2000-2016), the study was divided into three section for the purpose of achieving its hypothesis and objectives and for the purpose of accessing this methodology the hypotheses was that " The high level of the effective Aggregate Demand in the Jordanian economy because of external pressure factors of (Iraqi and Syrian) migration through high level of (MPCs =0.87) according to keynesian short run theory and (MPCL=0.84) in long run , besides the transformation by(0.94)of GDP through (2)years into consumption according to koyvk lag model".

and the packages were used statistical programs (E-views10, Excel) for the purpose of estimating the standard Model, in addition to finding important conclusions from them "according to Keynesian theory in the short term, the marginal propensity to consume reached a high rate (0.87), which in turn enhances the trends and tendency of growth rates of consumer spending with a constant increase in The elasticity of demand, which reached (0.72) and which boosted the trend of consumer spending towards the post-fulfillment of essential goods,and also the research has reached a relatively low value adjustment coefficient (0.237) which is approaching zero, which has determined the value of the consumption multiplier (1.312), which subsequently reflected the response speed Gross domestic product (GDP) for consumer spending (94 %) During a time lag of up to two years.The research recommendations were to "target consumer spending through a macro-economic policy based on the gap analysis (time lag) to convey the effects of expansion in the productive sectors (industry, agriculture) within a period of not more than (3) years in all cases.