تحليل محددات صادرات البطاطس المصرية

الملخص EN

The objective of the research is to highlight the most important export indicators of the Egyptian potato with a statement of the stability coefficient for the quantity, value and price of exporting the Egyptian potato and to identify the price competitiveness of the Egyptian potatoes and the use of the gravity model to identify the factors affecting the value of Egyptian potato exports during the period (2002 - 2015).

The quantity, value and price of exporting Egyptian potatoes are characterized by unstable.

It is clear that Egypt has lost its advantage of competitive price for France and the Netherlands in Greece, England and German markets during the last period (2009-2015).

IT is clear that the most important variables affecting the Egyptian exports of potatoes are the export price in dollar/ton, the export price of the Netherlands in dollar/ton, the total production of Egyptian potatoes per thousand tons, the farm price of the Egyptian potatoes in pounds/ton where there was a significant correlation between the independent variables and the dependent variable.

These factors explain 84 % of the total factors affecting the Egyptian exports of potatoes.

The standard estimate of flow of the Egyptian potato export using the gravity model indicates that the per capita in national income in the importing countries increases by one US $ and the import price to the other imported countries by a dollar, and the quantity produced from Egyptian potatoes in tons, the total quantity of imports of importing countries in tons and the number of population in the main importing countries by one million people led to an increase in the value of Egyptian potato exports by about 0.07, 18.45, 4.36, 0.02, 0.02 dollars to the importing countries, while increasing the distance between Egypt and the importing countries by one kilometer leads to a decrease in the value of Egyptian potato exports by about 14.01 dollar.

The study recommends increasing the competitiveness price of the Egyptian potato for France and the Netherlands in the markets of Greece, England and Germany and working on increasing production in order to increase the quantity and value of Egyptian exports of potatoes to increase per capita in the national income and direct potato exports to the countries close to Egypt because this leads to increase value of the exports