تطبيق نموذج SLEUTH الرقمي لقياس اتجاهات النمو الحضري لمدينة الخرطوم الكبرى، السودان

الملخص EN

The study aimed to identify the most important factors affecting the identification of urban growth trends in Great Khartoum and to review and analyze the previous urban planning policies through a detailed study of the structural plans that were applied previously, the bases on which they were based, and the changes that occurred during the implementation process.

At the end, an assessment of the current situation with modeling the future trends of urban growth was implemented.

The study used both the descriptive and the inductive methods.

It also analyzed the data using spatial analysis tools provided by GIS software.

A model of future urban growth trends was developed in great Khartoum City until 2033 using the SLEUTH model for measuring urban growth trends, as well as outputs of Khartoum State structural chart when applying the model (2008-2033).

The study come out with a number of results, the most important of which is that if urban growth rates of Khartoum City continue with the same current conditions, urban growth will be extended to areas outside the ring road, which is set as the limit for future urban growth of the city.

The study recommended the need to update the structural chart of the state of Khartoum and revise it on scientific grounds, taking into account the human changes and the planning developments of Sudan as a whole and the state of Khartoum in particular.