مدى فاعلية طريقتي بوكس–جنكيز و هولت وينتر في التنبؤ بمبيعات المؤسسة الوطنية للكهرباء و الغاز "سونلغاز" فرع تيسمسيلت

الملخص EN

Economic institutions have some administrative problems given the rapid development it faces such as demographic growth, industrial development and weather changes.so they must rely on some accurate statistical methods and scientific models to reach the appropriate solutions and achieve their objectives, here the importance of predictability is evident.

We tried through this study to apply two predictive methods in the short term: "Box-Jenkins and holt winter" National Electricity and Gas Corporation (sonalgaz) Tissemsilt, to forcast next year’s sales in order to adapt the economic changes and choose the best method, using program ‘EVIEWS’.