دراسة العلاقة الديناميكية و السببية بين أسعار البترول و البطالة بالجزائر للفترة (1980-2019)‎

الملخص EN

The study aims to describe, analyze and measure the impact of oil price fluctuations on unemployment rates in Algeria during the period (1980-2019), through the application of the Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR).

The study found an inverse relationship between the two variables, indicating that high oil prices It contributes to reducing the unemployment rate, and the test of causality for Grager indicated that there is a one-way causality that applies from oil prices towards the unemployment rate, as the response of countries and the contrast showed the strong impact of oil prices on the unemployment rate through increasing government revenues, and thus increasing public spending and improving the investment climate Including the provision of jobs