أثر تقلبات سعر صرف الدينار على الميزان التجاري الجزائري : دراسة قياسية باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي للفجوات الزمنية الموزعة (ARDL)‎ للفترة (1990-2019)‎

الملخص EN

This study aims to measure the impact of exchange rate the fluctuations of the Algerian dinar against the US dollar on the trade balance during the period from 1990 to 2017, whit showing the different stages that passed by the exchange rate in Algeria.

The impact of fluctuations was measured using Autoregressive-Distributed Lag Model ARDL.

The study concluded that there was an inverse relationship between the exchange rate and the Algerian trade balance in the short and long term.

Added to that, there are an auto-correlation between successive errors and estimators stability over time, something that explains the stability of the Algerian trade balance equation during the study period.