التنبؤ بالمبيعات باستخدام منهجية بوكس-جينكز (Box-Jenkins)‎ في المؤسسات الخدمية : دراسة حالة الشركة الجزائرية للتأمينات CAAT-وكالة أدرار

الملخص EN

This Study aims at forecasting the monthly sales of the car insurance service at the level of the Algerian Insurance Company LCAAT- Adrar Agency, duringe the period (2016-2018), using the BOX-Jenkins, The Eviews10 statistical program was used to estimate a standard for predicting future sales for the first semester of 2018.

Followinge the comprison between several standard models within the ARIMA group, the results showed that the appropriate model for the organization is ARIMA(1, 1, 5), it the appropriate model produces accurate and reliable predictions in forecasting seles of the car insurance service at the institution under study