التحليل المكاني للنمو السكاني في قضاء المحاويل للمدة 1997-2013 و توقعاته المستقبلية

الملخص EN

This study was refuge on the study of population growth in Mahaweel district for the period 1997-2013.

As a geographical study, it was concerned with the spatial and temporal differences and revealed the spatial relations of the studied phenomenon by collecting the relevant data on population growth for the above period and analysing these data using quantitative statistical measures Such as the standard criterion that is accurate to show the details of spatial differences of population growth between one administrative unit and another and represent a cartography.

The second section dealt with the environmental distribution of population growth rates in Mahaweel district and its administrative units.

The third topic discussed the future prospects for population growth.

The research found that there was a clear variation in population growth for the period 1997-2013, due to the natural increase and the migration to it.

The population growth rate reached a maximum of 4,2% in the period 2007-2013 and decreased in 1997-2007 to 3.4% ).

The study also revealed a clear variation in the population growth rates among the administrative units.

Al-Imam ranked first with a population growth rate of 3.5% for the period 1997-2007.

Mahaweel district and the project area ranked second with population growth rate (3, 4%) for each of them, either during the period 2007 - 2013, the project was ranked first with a population growth rate of (2.7%), (1.2%), while Al-Imam came in last place with -4.6%.The study found that the rate of population growth in rural areas increased by 3.5% for the period 1997-2007, which exceeded the growth rate of the urban population by 3.2% for the same period.

During the period 2007-2013, (6.2%) compared to the growth rate of the rural population (3.6%) for the same period.

The study showed that the population of the judiciary in 2023 reached about 403629 people.

This population is expected to double by 2033 to about 510,355 if the vital changes and demographic conditions of the population continue in their current proportions.