أثر تقلبات أسعار النفط على النمو الاقتصادي : دراسة حالة الدول المصدرة و الدول المستهلكة في الفترة (1990-2019)‎- الجزائر و المغرب أنموذجا

Abstract EN

This study aims to examine the effect of oil price fluctuations in world markets on economic growth during the period 1990-2019 in Algeria as an oil-exporting country and Morocco as an importer of oil, using the autoregressive distributed lag model ARDL to reveal the relationship between the studied variables.

The study concluded that there is a positive relationship between the study variables in the long and short term for Algeria being an exporting country so that the higher the oil price leads to an increase in economic growth and vice versa.

As for Morocco as an importing country, the results of the study showed that there is no relationship between the studied variables.

In the short term, but in the long term, the results concluded that there is also a positive relationship between changes in oil prices and economic growth, but with a less affected level compared to Algeria.